FIN 621 Chapter 5: CFIN 621- Chapter 5- International Parity Relationships and Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates .docx

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International parity conditions govern the exchange rate between pairs of currency: offers economic explanation for the value of the exchange rate and rate of change of the exchange. Foundations of most models of forecasting exchange rates. Reflects international law of one price fundamental idea that two things that are identical ought to sell for the same price. Law of one price purchasing power parity crucial in international trade. Arbitrage simultaneous purchase and sale of equivalent assets for the purpose of generating a certain and riskless profit. Sells an overpriced asset and buys an identical underpriced asset. Profitable arbitrage opportunity exist market cannot be in equilibrium: market equilibrium no profitable arbitrage opportunities exist. Interest rate parity (irp) zero-arbitrage condition that much hold with international financial markets are in equilibrium. Financial assets of similar risks in 2 countries yield the same rate of return. Buy at prevailing spot exchange rate (s) direct terms.

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