ANTC68H3 Chapter Notes -Malaria
Document Summary
Week # 4: regional warming and malaria resurgence by patz et al. Disease outbreaks are known to be often influenced by local weather but how changes in disease trends might be affected by long term global warming is more difficult to establish. Al found no significant change in long term climate at four locations where malaria incidence has been increasing since 1976. Patz et al believe these conclusions to be flawed due to inappropriate use of global climate set. The mean site altitudes used by hay et al compared to those of the actual input weather station differ on average by 575 m wwhich corresponds to a temperature deviation of 3 degrees celsisu. Hay et al focus on climate trend but climate change also applies to change in variability. Patz et al have found regional warming trends in east africa that parallel rising trends in malaria incidence.
