PHIL 105 Lecture Notes - Mutual Exclusivity, Coin Flipping, Bingo Players

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An overview of basic probability theory: part i. Don"t worry too much for now about distinguishing between propositions and events for the purposes of our class this is not going to play a huge role in what we do in here. But this difference matters quite a bit as you get into more serious theoretical work in probability theory. Different positions will take different notions as fundamental: some will speak in terms of events (for good reason) and some will speak in terms of propositions (also for good reason). We will get into some of this material in the second half of the book so be prepared for that. But don"t worry too much about it now. We are going to represent propositions or events with capital letters: a, b, c etc. So, for example, we will represent the proposition it will snow tomorrow by simply using s. Here are the basic ways that we"re going to do that.

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