ECN 204 Chapter Notes - Chapter 16: Edmund Phelps, Phillips Curve, Paul Samuelson

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24 Apr 2012
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The short run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. Phillips curve: shows the short-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment. Phillips showed that nominal wage growth was negatively correlated with unemployment in the u. k. 1960: paul samuelson & robert solow found a negative correlation between canadian and u. s. inflation & unemployment, named it the phillips curve. The following graphs show two possible outcomes for next year: Aggregate demand low, small increase in p (i. e. , low inflation), low output, high unemployment. Aggregate demand high, big increase in p (i. e. , high inflation), high output, low unemployment. Since fiscal and monetary policy affects aggregate demand, the pc appeared to offer policymakers a menu of choices: low unemployment with high inflation low inflation with high unemployment. 1960s: u. s. data supported the phillips curve; many believed the pc was stable and reliable. 1968: milton friedman and edmund phelps argued that the tradeoff was temporary.

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